Friday, February 07, 2014
EMPLOYMENT: Post Doctoral Fellow – Targeting Climate-Smart Development Interventions under Multiple Uncertainties (ICRAF)
The World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF) is accepting applications for a Nairobi-based Post Doctoral Fellow to work on targeting climate-smart development interventions under uncertainty.
Countless ‘climate-smart’ technologies are available to help farmers in Africa adapt to climate change. A wide range of practices has proven successful under certain conditions. However, we know that the success of interventions to improve livelihoods depends on a host of factors, for many of which little information is available and that vary significantly across time and space. Despite knowledge gaps and imperfect information, decisions about what interventions to promote where are on the agenda of decision-makers in governments, NGOs and international donor organizations daily. Decision makers need appropriate tools for assisting these decisions. Such tools require new approaches that adequately consider uncertainties and are able to capture the unclear nature of relationships between site factors on which success or failure of interventions depends. The incumbent will work with the decision engagement and analytics team at ICRAF and beyond to develop methods for targeting interventions under uncertainty, and for projecting likely impacts of such interventions. This will be achieved using probabilistic modeling, Bayesian networks and other similar approaches that do not rely on purely deterministic models of farmer reality.
- Review of existing approaches to target interventions and support decisions under uncertainty
- Probabilistic decision-support tools for intervention targeting and identification of metrics for impact assessment
- Publications in peer-reviewed journals and contribution to other communication products
- Review tools for modeling and decision making under uncertainty
- Develop methods to target interventions under uncertainty
- Develop and contribute to methodologies to forecast the impact of research for development on development outcomes and impacts
- Conduct impact projections and develop targeting recommendations for research and development activities at ICRAF and elsewhere.
- Using value of information analysis, identify further research needs and important metrics for impact assessment
- Publish in peer-reviewed journals
- Contribute to ICRAF’s communication products and resource mobilization efforts
Deadline: March 9, 2014
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